Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 28
Updated Jul. 28, 2025, 9:01 p.m. ET
The game between the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets on Monday at 9:40 p.m. ET features two standout hitters: Manny Machado and Brandon Nimmo. The Padres are favored with moneyline odds of -131, while the Mets are the underdogs at +110. San Diego is also favored by 1.5 runs. An 8-run total has been established for this matchup nba all logo.
Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mets game, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Make sure to stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.
Padres vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, July 28, 2025, at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY
| Favorite | Moneyline | Underdog | Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -131 | Mets | +110 | 8 | -112 | -108 | -1.5 | +161 | -195 |
Padres vs. Mets Prediction
Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Mets 48%
Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights
This season, the Padres have secured victories in 31 out of the 54 games they were favored to win, translating to a winning rate of 57.4%. San Diego holds a record of 25-17 in matches when favored by at least -131 on the moneyline. The Padres are given a 56.7% chance of winning this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Mets have been the underdogs in 31 games this season and have won 13 of those, achieving a 41.9% win rate in such matchups. The New York team has triumphed in seven of 17 games when they were underdogs of +110 or more on the moneyline, giving them an implied victory probability of 47.6% for this game.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
The Padres were moneyline favorites in five of their last 10 matches, resulting in a 2-3 record in those games. In their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to surpass the run total four times, with all 10 games having set totals. Their ATS record stands at 6-4-0 over the most recent stretch of games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.96 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
Padres Player Insights
Manny Machado leads the Padres with a batting average of .300, topped by 19 home runs and 66 runs batted in. He ranks 27th in homers and 17th in RBIs across the league. Currently, Machado is on a five-game hitting streak, where he boasts a .619 batting average, including four doubles, a home run, and six RBIs.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .268 with 17 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs, and 57 walks, ranking 47th in the league for homers and 91st for RBIs. Meanwhile, Luis Arraez holds a .291 average with 20 doubles, four triples, five home runs, and 20 walks. He is on a 10-game hitting streak, batting .390 during this period.
Xander Bogaerts has a batting average of .265, contributing 23 doubles, seven home runs, and 43 walks to the Padres’ performance this season.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0.5 (+210) |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 (-275) | 1.5 (+100) | – | 0.5 (+145) |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+150) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | – | 0.5 (+175) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+150) | 1.5 (+100) | – | 0.5 (+230) |
Mets Recent Betting Performance
The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their last 10 games, securing victories in two of those matchups. In their recent 10 games with a total, they have combined with their opponents to exceed the run total three times. The Mets have won against the spread in four of their last 10 chances.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3. jili net 2213 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Mets Player Insights
Juan Soto leads the Mets with a remarkable 25 home runs, ranking ninth in all of baseball for homers and 23rd in RBIs eyon blacklist international. Francisco Lindor contributes with 19 doubles, 20 home runs, and 34 walks while batting .249, ranking 22nd in home runs and 36th in RBIs. echo team
Pete Alonso is the Mets’ RBI leader with 81 and holds a team-high batting average of .266. Brandon Nimmo is batting .261 with 20 doubles, 19 home runs, and 32 walks.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+140) | – | 0.5 (+205) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-200) | 1. best setter in the philippines5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+190) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+125) | – | 0.5 (+210) |
| Luis Torrens | – | – | – | – |
| Frankie Montás | – | – | – | – |
What are your thoughts on the upcoming matchup between the Padres and the Mets?
